Blog

  • The S&P 500 dropped 1.2% yesterday and this ends a 109 day streak without 1% drop. This is only the 13th such +100 day period since 1950 for the S&P, see my February post. This drop was met with panicked reactions and crash warnings on social media, but people forget that 1% down days in…

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  • SKEW is high again

    Stocks have been pulling back a bit in recent weeks, but so far it seems to be the “short and shallow” variant as described in my most recent post. The Nasdaq has easily held above 5800 and is already pushing back towards its recent highs. This means the scenario for a further 5% surge before…

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  • Outlook for world markets with brief comments for next week. Click the “Expand” button (bottom right) to watch in full screen mode. If you have any trouble to see the presentation below, then click here. For shorter term trading and more optimal entries there are daily reversal levels, which are available by monthly subscription. Comes…

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  • Outlook for world markets with brief comments for next week. Click the “Expand” button (bottom right) to watch in full screen mode. If you have any trouble to see the presentation below, then click here. For shorter term trading and more optimal entries there are daily reversal levels, which are available by monthly subscription. Comes…

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  • Stocks are pulling back a bit since their March 1 peaks, but nothing dramatic so far. The S&P 500 has now gone 99 trading days without a 1% down day, so if stocks don’t drop today this move will join the 100 day club. That hasn’t happened since 1995. Let’s have a look at the…

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  • Outlook for world markets with brief comments for next week. Click the “Expand” button (bottom right) to watch in full screen mode. If you have any trouble to see the presentation below, then click here. For shorter term trading and more optimal entries there are daily reversal levels, which are available by monthly subscription. Comes…

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  • LT wave for March

    The market has drifted sideways in the recent week and we are now going almost 100 trading days without a 1% down day in the S&P 500. That’s already the longest such streak since 1995. It will be interesting to see if this move joins the 100 club. Let’s have a look at the current…

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  • Outlook for world markets with brief comments for next week. Click the “Expand” button (bottom right) to watch in full screen mode. If you have any trouble to see the presentation below, then click here. For shorter term trading and more optimal entries there are daily reversal levels, which are available by monthly subscription. Comes…

    Read more

  • The S&P 500 hasn’t had a 1% down day (on a closing basis) since 11 October 2016. That’s 92 trading days without a more than 1% decline, the longest such streak since late 2006. If the market keeps this up a few weeks more then the current series will join the 100+ day club, which…

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  • MoM will take care of you

    That’s not just a wink to all the loving mothers out there. I am of course talking about the MoM indicator, one of my three “bread and butter” indicators you can usually find in the charts I post every week. Before taking a closer look on how to use the MoM for index trading I…

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