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  • Here is our key reversal levels table for next week: Weekly Current Mode Key (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Nasdaq 4,059.88 3,714.71 8.31 47 31.42 S&P 500 1,805.81 1,702.00 8.29 52 27.50 Nikkei 15,661.87 13,828.43 3.94 53 65.45 FTSE 100 6,650.60 6,504.67 3.46 20 1.62 DAX 9,405.29 8,714.19 8.32 20 14.17 Bonds (TLT) 104.45…

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  • One way year

    Stocks are climbing again after yet another brief pullback. After a one way year like this it is quite normal to see major indexes end the year at or near their highs. So, I wouldn’t look for much downside action in December, unless some major disaster strikes. How high could we go in the last…

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  • Here is our key reversal table for next week: Weekly Current Mode Key (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Nasdaq 3,991.64 3,688.16 8.25 46 29.21 S&P 500 1,804.76 1,688.77 7.60 51 27.42 Nikkei 15,381.71 13,652.26 2.89 52 62.49 FTSE 100 6,674.29 6,488.00 3.53 19 1.98 DAX 9,219.04 8,639.53 8.22 19 11.91 Bonds (TLT) 103.91 108.11…

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  • I get occasional questions about the quantitative easing (QE) programs that are being perpetuated by the world’s central bankers. Will it work? When? The idea of QE is to add some extra money-fuel to start the economic motor. This is really no different from priming an engine before you start it in cold weather. If…

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  • The long term crash cycle

    In a previous article I pointed out the possible existence of a 4666 day (= 666 weeks) and a 88.37 year cycle in the market. Of course, with only 200 years of observed stock market history we have little proof for it. One reader asked whether there are even longer cycles we could possibly consider.…

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  • Be a market agnostic

    A lot of investors think they can only profit by correctly predicting where the market is going to go next. But some investors are actually doing very well by simply going along with what comes along. They follow the market rather than trying to predict where it will be next month, next year… More on…

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  • A reader mailed me, criticizing my recent post Questioning Financial Astrology , in which I pointed out the problems with using longer term cycles. He is convinced that Jupiter cycle does work in the market and pointed to a post by Raymond Merriman, in which the Jupiter cycle gets mentioned. Quoting the relevant part: Historically,…

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  • Here is our key reversal table for next week: Weekly Current Mode Key (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Nasdaq 3,985.97 3,665.43 8.24 45 29.03 S&P 500 1,798.18 1,677.09 7.08 50 26.96 Nikkei 15,165.91 13,504.08 2.06 51 60.21 FTSE 100 6,693.39 6,468.47 3.20 18 2.27 DAX 9,168.69 8,570.97 7.92 18 11.30 Bonds (TLT) 104.73 108.28…

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  • Air pockets

    Stock markets have gone mostly sideways as we indicated last week. The Dow Jones Industrials managed to set new highs, but the Nasdaq failed to do so. On Thursday there was a sudden drop in the market, followed by a remarkable comeback on Friday. This could be the first of a series of air pockets…

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  • Here is our key reversal table for next week: Weekly Current Mode Key (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Nasdaq 3,919.23 3,641.07 8.33 44 26.87 S&P 500 1,770.61 1,666.31 6.61 49 25.01 Nikkei 14,086.79 13,430.01 1.94 50 48.81 FTSE 100 6,708.39 6,450.52 2.90 17 2.50 DAX 9,078.28 8,511.13 7.43 17 10.20 Bonds (TLT) 103.41 108.49…

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