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If you look at a long term chart of the Dow Jones Industrials it is interesting to see how symmetrical the advance since the 1932 depression lows has been. You could turn the chart upside down around a point in late 1974, and it would look almost exactly the same. This chart lines out some…
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August is slowly coming to an end. Today we take a look at the LT wave for September (click for larger image): The LT wave did fairly well again in August. US stocks reached a new high on August 5th, but the market failed to build on those gains as was expected on the basis…
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It doesn’t matter all that much which stocks you buy or when you buy them, what matters most is when you sell them. In a nutshell that’s the conclusion of a stock experiment we have been doing over the last few years. More on that later on in this post, first we will take our…
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Our key reversal levels going into next week: Current Status Key (W) Mom (W) Mode Key (D) Mom (D) Nasdaq 3657.8 BULL S: 3395 7.47 (7.67) RALLY * S: 3609 -1.97 (-2.48) S&P 500 1663.5 BULL S: 1592.60 4.96 (5.67) DECLINE R: 1676.30 -6.47 (-6.77) Nikkei 13660 BULL S: 12602 2.12 (2.90) DECLINE R: 13981…
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This is a follow up article on a topic I addressed in early June, see: What parabolic peak? The Dow Jones has kept climbing to new record highs, and this is how the comparison with the post-depression bull market in the 1920s has evolved (click for larger image): The correlation has actually increased to 0.84…
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As mentioned in my weekend post giving our key reversal levels, my method also spins off key target levels along the way. Here they are in table format, and from now on I will include them in my weekly key reversals post: Key Targets Up(W) Up2(W) Down(W) Down2(W) Up(D) Up2(D) Down(D) Down2(D) Nasdaq 3690 3920…
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The scenario we lined out last week clearly didn’t pan out. The market stalled near its recent highs and then dropped significantly. With another week of lunar red period to go, it is probably too early to jump back into the market already. Let’s have a look at the Nasdaq chart (click for larger image):…
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Our key reversal levels going into next week: Status Key (W) Mom (W) Mode Key (D) Mom (D) Nasdaq BULL S: 3379 Up DECLINE R: 3632 Down S&P 500 BULL S: 1589.20 Down * DECLINE R: 1684.10 Down Nikkei BULL S: 12573 Down DECLINE R: 14115 Up FTSE 100 BULL S: 6304 Up DECLINE R:…
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Markets broke down yesterday. This means the window for potential new highs is now going to be closed for a while. Looking for possible downside targets, this chart can become useful (click for larger image): The important green trend line was now clearly broken again, and this means the first support should come at the…
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The market came under some pressure last week, but still ended the lunar green period with a respectable 55 points gain on the Nasdaq. It looks like stock markets are ripe for an autumn correction, and the failure to build on gains last week is a warning sign. Is the decline getting started now? Let’s…
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LunaticTrader Blog 