LT wave for August 2025

The LT wave had another good month in July.

The SPX climbed to near 6300 in the first week, when strength was expected. Subsequently the market chopped sideways until the middle of the month, in the weaker period. And then the market climbed to new record highs again in the subsequent stronger period. The final days of the month were already getting weaker, and even that was visible in our graph. We can be happy with that. Here is the LT wave for August:

Weakness is projected until around the 8th. Then we have a neutral period, chopping very close to the zero line, until the 18th. Such neutral periods can go either way, and that can give useful clues about the path of least resistance. From the 19th until the 28th there is another strong period. And the final days of the month are weak.

The usual caveats apply: the LT wave is experimental and purely based on natural cycles, so not on market or price data. Don’t bet the farm on it.

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Dan's avatar

By Dan

Stock trader since 1986. Method based on proprietary indicators, seasonal patterns and moon cycles.

5 comments

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