Solar cycle peak 2025

It’s that time again. Solar cycle 25 is peaking , or has peaked, and that’s being watched by some well known investors. In some previous articles I wrote around the peak of solar cycle 24 I didn’t find much evidence that solar cycle peaks coincide with stock market peaks. Sometimes they do, sometimes they dont. And we only have some 20 observed cycles, so not much statistical confidence can be taken from it.
See:

But with markets still going higher since the Covid lows in 2020 this sunspot cycle could mark a top. As I have become a lazy writer and like to play with the new AI toys recently I asked Grok two questions about it:
1 – “Which famous investors consider the correlation between sunspots cycle highs and US stock market peaks?”
This is the answer: https://x.com/i/grok/share/fnLpNClLHYauBVfkYNr1tFjvo
And 2 – “Given the current solar cycle 25 progression and prognosis, when would the next important stock market peak and bottom be expected if the correlation we saw in recent solar cycles holds up?”
Which got me this: https://x.com/i/grok/share/gOBkvHMiGr4TSQ8prZ100alMH

So, there we have it. The next important stock market peak can be expected in late 2025 to early 2026. And the next important bottom would then follow in 2028-2030. Who would doubt Grok?
Note that an early 2026 peak and a 2028 bottom would follow the decadal pattern very closely, as described in my Scribd article (linked above). So, is it the sunspot cycle or the decadal pattern that “works”? They coincide this time, so we will not get an answer. But we can watch and learn.

Dan's avatar

By Dan

Stock trader since 1986. Method based on proprietary indicators, seasonal patterns and moon cycles.

9 comments

Leave a reply to Dan Cancel reply