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The LT wave did not work well in March. The SPX dropped 400 points in the first two week, when strength was expected. And then rebounded 250 points in what was supposed to be the weaker second half of the month. In the final week those gains were given back, which was in line with
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The LT wave did well in February. The first week ended sideways and the subsequent stronger period saw the market go back up to 6100+. The weaker period starting on the 19th then took the index down to well below 5900. Expected strength in the final days failed to show up however, with the exception
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The LT wave had an excellent month in January. The first few days were positive, as expected. Then the market dipped in the second week, as the wave had indicated. The more positive period starting from the 14th came right on the mark as well. The SPX climbed to a new all time closing high
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A bit of an update on our Icebergs charts concept. This idea was introduced almost 10 years ago, and a few extra elements have been added since version 3. The Icebergs algo is not the fastest, so it’s not meant for daytrading, but it offers a unique way to see the overall market condition in
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A happy new year to all our readers. Some have been here for 10+ years, others have just arrived. Thanks all. Enjoy 2025! The LT wave had another fairly good month in December. The expected weakness in the first weeks saw the market stagnate after recording a new record high in the first trading days.
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The LT wave had a good month in November. The expected strength in the beginning of the month lasted a few days longer then projected and took the index above 6000 for the first time. The subsequent weakness was obvious in the second week, and the stronger days in the third week allowed the market
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It has been quite a while since I did my last full post on Bitcoin. Of course I kept tweeting about it, like in this warning right after the $69k peak in late 2021: https://x.com/lunatictrader1/status/1470303560000753664 With Bitcoin breaking out to new record highs after a long corrective phase, the big question is now how high
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The LT wave had another mediocre month in October. The expected strength in the beginning of the month extended a few days longer then projected. The projected weakness starting in the third week was quite mild and stocks kept going sideways in the final week. When expected strength fails to show up it can be
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The LT wave had another mediocre month in September. The projected strong first week did not pan out at all. The S&P 500 fell to its low of the month and then started rallying in the second week, when the wave indicated weakness. The second half of the months was much better, with a positive
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Some readers have asked for next key dates, after our previous posts on that topic worked pretty well. In our most recent post we discussed the August 9, 2024 key date, which we had shared more than a year ago. We did not get a high (as looked more likely at the time of my
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