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Today I want to show a little trick that works with quarterly charts. The shorter the timeframe, the more noisy the data. Daily news items, Fed decisions, earnings reports,… can cause sudden spikes on hourly and daily charts. Such whipsaw moves can throw off indicators. In monthly or quarterly charts those daily variations even out…
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The LT wave had another good month in March. Expected strength in the first days was not spectacular, but the index kept up. That changed in the second week and stocks kept declining throughout the three weeks with negative LT wave readings. The final days did produce a relief rally. So, it was close to…
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In a post last year we mentioned the solar cycle peak and the potential for an early 2026 stock market peak based on the decadal pattern: Solar Cycle Peak 2025 Let’s go a bit deeper into that, starting with the decadal pattern. (The old Scribd PDF is still online, but you can also download it…
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The LT wave had another good month in February. Weakness in the first days and a rebound at the end of the first week came right on the mark. Those gains were given back in the second week, which was projected to be weaker. Stocks traded with a small upward bias in the final two…
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The LT wave did fairly well in January. The start was pretty good, as expected, and then stocks went largely sideways until the second weekend. The period of weakness starting around the 11th was rather mild at first and then intensified near the middle of the month.There was a suprisingly strong rebound rally, which was…
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The LT wave did well in December. There was mild sputtering in the first days and then the SPX climbed to just above 6900 in the second week. The middle week, which was expected to be weaker, saw a significant pullback, followed by a rally in the next week, when new record highs were reached.…
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The LT wave had a poor month in November. The expected pattern held up until around the 12th, but the subsequent price action was much weaker than expected until the end of the 3rd week. And then stocks rebounded sharply in the final week, when strength was projected. Some would say: phase inversion. I just…
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The LT wave did quite well again in October. The market went flat in the first days that were expected to be weaker. The subsequent stronger period started ok, but there was a sudden big down day on the 10th. That happened to be a very low couple of days in the blue line (shorter…
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It’s that time again. Solar cycle 25 is peaking , or has peaked, and that’s being watched by some well known investors. In some previous articles I wrote around the peak of solar cycle 24 I didn’t find much evidence that solar cycle peaks coincide with stock market peaks. Sometimes they do, sometimes they dont.…
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As a quick aside, if you use Telegram you can now also pick up all our postings related to LunaticTrader and Reversal Levels here: https://t.me/ReversalLevels The LT wave had another good month in September. The weakness in the first week was just some brief hesitation. The stronger period until the 25th produced a 200 point…
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