Investing is more about observing than forecasting

Markets turned down again last week. Potentially this paints a failed breakout in the Nasdaq, which surged to new all time highs last week but didn’t see any other major index follow in its footsteps. We remain in a lunar red period for another week, so a pullback was not unexpected. Now it is important… Continue reading Investing is more about observing than forecasting

When will the moon blink?

Stocks rallied strongly last week, and another lunar green period has ended with handsome gains. The lunar cycle keeps up its perfect record for the year. This is a highly unusual winning streak. If we consider the odds of correctly guessing the direction of the market over a given period at 50%, then getting it… Continue reading When will the moon blink?

Looking up

After another difficult Greece-dominated week stocks are trying to climb back. The lunar green period continues this week and that should support some kind of rally. Here is the current Nasdaq chart (click image to enlarge it): The market appears to have bottomed out last Wednesday. The Earl indicator (blue line) is turning up from… Continue reading Looking up