Why deflation is a blessing

Average wages are stagnant in the developed countries. Which also means that consumer spending is stagnant, because in the longer term people can spend only as much as they make. So, the economy stays weak. What is the solution? Central banks are trying to create more inflation, as if that will somehow wake the developed… Continue reading Why deflation is a blessing

Is the bull exhausted?

The S&P 500 fell back towards 1920, as we had indicated last week, with other markets also pulling back from recent highs. Still, the Nasdaq closed out the recent lunar red period with a healthy 68 point gain, suggesting ongoing strength in the market. The Nasdaq is one of the indexes that has not exceeded… Continue reading Is the bull exhausted?

Is the breakout for real?

Stocks have pushed to new highs in rather convincing fashion. Is this a real breakout, or a just blow-off top? Here is the current chart for the S&P 500 (click for larger image): Our lunar red period has not stopped the recent rally and the S&P 500 chart is showing a clear breakout from the… Continue reading Is the breakout for real?