There are two types of people. Some people constantly change their theories and beliefs to make them fit reality better, while others try to change reality to make it fit their rather fixed theories and beliefs. In his book The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail but Some Don’t, Nate Silver describes… Continue reading Why you can not afford to be a bull or a bear
Category: Market Commentary
Key reversal levels for week of March 24, 2014
Comments for this week (the key reversal tables are below) : * Weekly momentum (MoM) is turning down again for the Nasdaq. May have peaked for a while. This is an important signal as the Nasdaq has been one of the strongest markets in the recent months. Wait and see whether MoM can pick up… Continue reading Key reversal levels for week of March 24, 2014
Key reversal levels for March 19
Latest daily key reversal levels: (Legend: Mode : green = bullish, pale green = weak bullish – may have peaked, red = bearish, pink = mildly bearish – may have bottomed | Key: key reversal level | W: weekly mode | %Ch.: blue = profit, orange = loss | for more details about these key… Continue reading Key reversal levels for March 19
Adverse move ratio
The US stock market has been climbing steadily without any serious pullback for more than a year. Some analysts consider this a dangerous sign of complacency, others blame the central bank’s QE policies for this “abnormal” market. Almost all seem to agree that this can only end with a crash. But how unusual is this… Continue reading Adverse move ratio
Key reversal levels for week of March 17, 2014
Comments for this week (the key reversal tables are below) : * DAX, FTSE 100 and Nikkei have closed below their weekly key reversal levels and are now in fully bearish mode. Avoid until we see weekly MoM turning back up for these markets. * The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are quite a bit stronger… Continue reading Key reversal levels for week of March 17, 2014
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