S&P 500 – LunaticTrader Blog

Using Quarterly Charts

Today I want to show a little trick that works with quarterly charts. The shorter the timeframe, the more noisy the data. Daily news items, Fed decisions, earnings reports,… can cause sudden spikes on hourly and daily charts. Such whipsaw moves can throw off indicators. In monthly or quarterly charts those daily variations even out… Continue reading Using Quarterly Charts

The case for a 2026 peak

In a post last year we mentioned the solar cycle peak and the potential for an early 2026 stock market peak based on the decadal pattern: Solar Cycle Peak 2025 Let’s go a bit deeper into that, starting with the decadal pattern. (The old Scribd PDF is still online, but you can also download it… Continue reading The case for a 2026 peak

Icebergs 4

A bit of an update on our Icebergs charts concept. This idea was introduced almost 10 years ago, and a few extra elements have been added since version 3. The Icebergs algo is not the fastest, so it’s not meant for daytrading, but it offers a unique way to see the overall market condition in… Continue reading Icebergs 4

LT wave for January 2020

After a few weak months our LT wave seems to have kicked back into the proper gear. This is the projected price pattern for S&P 500 in January: After expected weakness in early December the market flatlined a bit before bursting higher in the subsequent strong period. For January the wave suggests a weak period… Continue reading LT wave for January 2020

Is gold really outperforming the S&P 500?

I saw this tweet, which tries to show that gold has been a better investment than stocks: History: #Gold has beaten the S&P 500 index so far this century: #Markets pic.twitter.com/bDtmmvu4GW — Physical Gold Fund (@PhysGoldFund) February 14, 2019 I will shamelessly repost the chart it uses to make the case: That looks very convincing,… Continue reading Is gold really outperforming the S&P 500?