Narrow range

The S&P 500 has climbed just above 2500, technically breaking out above its early August highs. But this doesn’t make the market any easier to read because we remain stuck in a narrowing range. Here is the updated chart: The narrowing range, as shown by the blue lines in this chart, will inevitably be abandoned… Continue reading Narrow range

When will the moon blink?

Stocks rallied strongly last week, and another lunar green period has ended with handsome gains. The lunar cycle keeps up its perfect record for the year. This is a highly unusual winning streak. If we consider the odds of correctly guessing the direction of the market over a given period at 50%, then getting it… Continue reading When will the moon blink?

Disappointing days can be bullish

Yesterday the stock market opened higher, climbed even more and then started sliding, only to end the day down and down more than 1.5% from the intraday highs it had reached just a few hours earlier. That’s as disappointing as days can get for people who own stocks, other than a crash of course. Here… Continue reading Disappointing days can be bullish