Outlook March 7

Market action was pretty much as expected last week.
Market is trying to recover and close to making a double top.

With a couple more days of lunar Green Period to go the Nasdaq could add another 20 points or so, but I would use it as an opportunity to sell.
A weak Green Period is all but certain now, so this signals that the path of least resistance has probably turned down for the moment. We haven’t had a negative Green Period since early August last year, and typically negative Green Periods are followed by more weakness in the next weeks or months.

Here is a current chart of the Nasdaq, with some trendlines and support levels I consider important (click for larger image):

Nasdaq March 2011

A drop below 2750 this week would confirm an ongoing correction. First target 2600, then 2450.
Just staying out, and I will watch if there is any buying opportunity by the end of next lunar Red Period.

Good Luck, Danny

Dan's avatar

By Dan

Stock trader since 1986. Method based on proprietary indicators, seasonal patterns and moon cycles.

2 comments

  1. Danny,

    i am sure you must be monitoring the markets and every week after week i read your posts and i admire you for your approach and insight about the markets. Every body was feeling Nasdaq can’t go down it was only you said i would stay on the sideline rather than losing the dough.
    thanks a bunch.
    vinod

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