Dan – Page 184 – LunaticTrader Blog

One way year

Stocks are climbing again after yet another brief pullback. After a one way year like this it is quite normal to see major indexes end the year at or near their highs. So, I wouldn’t look for much downside action in December, unless some major disaster strikes. How high could we go in the last… Continue reading One way year

Key reversal levels for week of November 25, 2013

Here is our key reversal table for next week: Weekly Current Mode Key (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Nasdaq 3,991.64 3,688.16 8.25 46 29.21 S&P 500 1,804.76 1,688.77 7.60 51 27.42 Nikkei 15,381.71 13,652.26 2.89 52 62.49 FTSE 100 6,674.29 6,488.00 3.53 19 1.98 DAX 9,219.04 8,639.53 8.22 19 11.91 Bonds (TLT) 103.91 108.11… Continue reading Key reversal levels for week of November 25, 2013

Why QE fails to start the economic engine

I get occasional questions about the quantitative easing (QE) programs that are being perpetuated by the world’s central bankers. Will it work? When? The idea of QE is to add some extra money-fuel to start the economic motor. This is really no different from priming an engine before you start it in cold weather. If… Continue reading Why QE fails to start the economic engine

The long term crash cycle

In a previous article I pointed out the possible existence of a 4666 day (= 666 weeks) and a 88.37 year cycle in the market. Of course, with only 200 years of observed stock market history we have little proof for it. One reader asked whether there are even longer cycles we could possibly consider.… Continue reading The long term crash cycle

Be a market agnostic

A lot of investors think they can only profit by correctly predicting where the market is going to go next. But some investors are actually doing very well by simply going along with what comes along. They follow the market rather than trying to predict where it will be next month, next year… More on… Continue reading Be a market agnostic