Today I want to show a little trick that works with quarterly charts. The shorter the timeframe, the more noisy the data. Daily news items, Fed decisions, earnings reports,… can cause sudden spikes on hourly and daily charts. Such whipsaw moves can throw off indicators. In monthly or quarterly charts those daily variations even out… Continue reading Using Quarterly Charts
Tag: stock market
The case for a 2026 peak
In a post last year we mentioned the solar cycle peak and the potential for an early 2026 stock market peak based on the decadal pattern: Solar Cycle Peak 2025 Let’s go a bit deeper into that, starting with the decadal pattern. (The old Scribd PDF is still online, but you can also download it… Continue reading The case for a 2026 peak
LT wave for February 2025
The LT wave had an excellent month in January. The first few days were positive, as expected. Then the market dipped in the second week, as the wave had indicated. The more positive period starting from the 14th came right on the mark as well. The SPX climbed to a new all time closing high… Continue reading LT wave for February 2025
The long term crash cycle
In a previous article I pointed out the possible existence of a 4666 day (= 666 weeks) and a 88.37 year cycle in the market. Of course, with only 200 years of observed stock market history we have little proof for it. One reader asked whether there are even longer cycles we could possibly consider.… Continue reading The long term crash cycle
The Saros cycle and the stock market
Once in a while I get questions about lunar and solar eclipses, or messages from readers who protest against my website stating that eclipses are rather irrelevant for the markets. I can’t help it that there is no consistent effect from eclipses as such. It’s just a common sense thing. Any casual observer can find… Continue reading The Saros cycle and the stock market
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